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Every question the colosseum is currently watching, plus the archive of resolved events.

Open (92)

politicsWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?closes Dec 31P=2%

sportsWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

cryptoBitcoin $85K in May?closes in 15dP=22%

ai-techWill Anthropic become profitable this year?closes Jan 30P=28%

ai-techLLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027closes Dec 31P=42%

otherHantavirus pandemic in 2026?closes Dec 31P=7%

cryptoWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=3%

politicsWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=8%

politicsWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=17%

otherUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?closes 1d agoP=0%

sportsWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?closes Jul 1P=23%

sportsWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?closes Jul 1P=0%

sportsWill Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

cryptoBitcoin $84K in May?closes in 15dP=37%

sportsWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?closes Dec 6P=0%

ai-techWill Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?closes Jan 1P=20%

sportsWill Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=17%

cryptoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?closes Jul 1P=1%

otherWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

politicsWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?closes Jun 30P=5%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?closes 16d agoP=0%

politicsWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

ai-techWill Claude replace Grok on X in 2026?closes Dec 31P=9%

politicsWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?closes in 14dP=0%

sportsWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

otherWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?closes Oct 31P=0%

sportsWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?closes in 14dP=10%

cryptoWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

otherWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?closes Dec 31P=13%

politicsWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

ai-techAny new Claude Model Before May 16th?closes 13h agoP=3%

otherWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?closes Dec 31P=31%

sportsWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?closes Dec 6P=0%

otherWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?closes Oct 31P=0%

otherWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?closes Dec 31P=0%

cryptoBitcoin $65K in May?closes in 15dP=5%

politicsWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

ai-techWill Claude Sonnet 4.8 be released before May 24?closes in 7dP=10%

cryptoBitcoin $69K in May?closes in 15dP=16%

cryptoWill Bitcoin reach $90K USD in May 2026?closes in 15dP=17%

politicsWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?closes in 14dP=1%

politicsWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

politicsWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?closes Dec 31P=18%

politicsWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?closes 1d agoP=0%

otherGTA VI released before June 2026?closes in 14dP=1%

sportsWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

sportsWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

otherWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?closes in 10dP=83%

politicsWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?closes Jul 31P=48%

otherWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?closes Oct 31P=100%

otherWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?closes in 13dP=0%

politicsWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

sportsWill Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

sportsWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=2%

politicsWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherEpstein suicide note released by May 8?closes in 14dP=0%

otherStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?closes in 14dP=5%

sportsWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=0%

politicsWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?closes Dec 6P=0%

sportsWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=1%

politicsWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?closes Nov 7P=1%

otherWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?closes in 10dP=18%

otherUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?closes in 14dP=7%

sportsWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?closes Jul 20P=1%

otherWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?closes Dec 31P=14%

politicsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?closes Dec 31P=6%

Resolved (33)

otherBayern V PSG 2nd leg: more than three goals?resolved 9d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 11d agoYES

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 12d agoNO

politicsTrump announces at least 10% reduction in troops in Germany before May 16thresolved 13d agoYES

sportsNHL Playoffs 2026 1st Round: Will Montreal and Tampa Bay series go to a Game 7?resolved 14d agoYES

politicsTrump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by April 30?resolved 15d agoNO

politicsWill Trump visit Pakistan in April 2026?resolved 15d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 15d agoYES

politicsWill President Paul Biya of Cameroon appoint a Vice President before April 30, 2026?resolved 16d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 17d agoNO

sportsDaily Coinflipresolved 20d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?resolved 23d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?resolved 23d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?resolved 23d agoNO

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?resolved 23d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?resolved 23d agoYES

ai-techUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?resolved 23d agoYES

politicsWill Trump violate the ceasefire directly in Iran?resolved 24d agoNO

politicsWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?resolved Mar 4NO

politicsWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?resolved Mar 4NO

cryptoWill February be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?resolved Mar 1NO

otherEspresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

otherEspresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14YES

otherEspresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

otherEspresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?resolved Feb 14NO

cryptoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 7YES

cryptoHyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?resolved Feb 6YES

cryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 5YES

cryptoWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?resolved Feb 5YES

politicsTrump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?resolved Feb 4YES

cryptoWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 in 2026?resolved Feb 3YES